{"id":36797,"date":"2026-08-24T16:09:06","date_gmt":"2026-08-24T14:09:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/?p=36797"},"modified":"2026-08-24T16:11:21","modified_gmt":"2026-08-24T14:11:21","slug":"trh-klesl-volatilita-taky-a-co-ted","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/blog\/trh-klesl-volatilita-taky-a-co-ted\/","title":{"rendered":"Trh klesl, volatilita taky. A co te\u010f?"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"36797\" class=\"elementor elementor-36797\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-798bd3e8 e-con-full vb-article e-flex e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"798bd3e8\" data-element_type=\"container\" data-e-type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-565af022 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"565af022\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>To je jeden ze sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, na kter\u00fd se strategick\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f hled\u00e1 blb\u011b.<\/p><p>\u010clov\u011bk tak n\u011bjak \u010dek\u00e1, \u017ee kdy\u017e trh kles\u00e1, volatilita poroste. Jen\u017ee ono to tak b\u00fdt nemus\u00ed. Trh m\u016f\u017ee pomalu klesat a VIX si u toho klidn\u011b d\u00e1l sed\u011bt v k\u0159esle a tv\u00e1\u0159it se, \u017ee se vlastn\u011b nic ned\u011bje.<\/p><p>A pr\u00e1v\u011b tenhle sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159 nen\u00ed zase tak \u010dast\u00fd, tak\u017ee nenajdete zrovna z\u00e1stup strategi\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by z n\u011bj dok\u00e1zaly dlouhodob\u011b a systematicky t\u011b\u017eit.<\/p><p>Jednou z m\u00e1la v\u00fdjimek jsou n\u011bkter\u00e9 <strong>Iron Condory a Iron Flies<\/strong>.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a434ba93 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"a434ba93\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">V\u00fdsledky<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3921ca29 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"3921ca29\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>P\u0159esn\u011b takov\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed jsme m\u011bli minul\u00fd t\u00fdden. Men\u0161\u00ed pokles trhu, \u010dasto zp\u016fsoben\u00fd no\u010dn\u00edm gapem, a z\u00e1rove\u0148 pokles volatility. A moje strategie z toho zrovna nad\u0161en\u00e9 nebyly. Jedin\u00e9, co mi minul\u00fd t\u00fdden vyd\u011blalo n\u011bjak\u00e9 drobn\u00e9, byl <strong>Iron Fly<\/strong>.<\/p><p>Call spread zam\u011b\u0159en\u00fd na r\u016fst prod\u011blal.<br \/>Long Straddle \u010dekaj\u00edc\u00ed na v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pohyb prod\u011blal.<br \/>Kalend\u00e1\u0159n\u00ed spready zam\u011b\u0159en\u00e9 na r\u016fst volatility prod\u011blaly taky.<\/p><p>Celkem <strong>6 obchod\u016f, 5 ztr\u00e1t<\/strong>.<\/p><p>V\u00fdsledek: <strong>-1 958 USD (-3,1 %) <\/strong>na sledovan\u00e9m \u00fa\u010dtu.<\/p><p>Nen\u00ed to p\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9, ale stane se.<\/p><p>A vlastn\u011b je to docela dobr\u00e1 p\u0159ipom\u00ednka toho, pro\u010d nechci stav\u011bt portfolio na jedn\u00e9 jedin\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed podm\u00ednce. Proto\u017ee trh m\u00e1 ob\u010das talent vybrat si p\u0159esn\u011b ten sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd se ti do kr\u00e1mu zrovna nehod\u00ed. \ud83d\ude01<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-cd7081ca elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"cd7081ca\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">VIX a sezonalita<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a40ec3da elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a40ec3da\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>A t\u00edm se dost\u00e1v\u00e1me k dal\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zce. Ze sez\u00f3nn\u00edho pohledu by m\u011blo p\u0159ij\u00edt volatiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obdob\u00ed b\u011bhem <strong>z\u00e1\u0159\u00ed a \u0159\u00edjna<\/strong>. A zrovna te\u010f analyzuju, jak\u00fd vliv m\u00e1 sezonalita na n\u011bkter\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edstupy, kter\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1m. Napad\u00e1 m\u011b tedy, jestli by zejm\u00e9na u n\u011bkter\u00fdch kalend\u00e1\u0159n\u00edch spread\u016f ned\u00e1valo smysl <strong>n\u011bkter\u00e1 obdob\u00ed prost\u011b vynechat<\/strong>. Ne proto, \u017ee bych cht\u011bl sezonalitu slep\u011b obchodovat. Sp\u00ed\u0161 m\u011b zaj\u00edm\u00e1, jestli mi m\u016f\u017ee pomoct \u0159\u00edct:<\/p><p><strong>\u201eTady tu strategii rad\u0161i p\u00e1r t\u00fddn\u016f nech b\u00fdt.\u201c<\/strong><\/p><p>A p\u0159esn\u011b to te\u010f testuju. Pod grafem sezonality VIXu (1990-2026) tedy m\u00e1m ot\u00e1zku pro tebe: <strong>Vid\u00ed<\/strong><strong>\u0161 <\/strong><strong>tam obdob\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by podle <\/strong><strong>tebe<\/strong><strong> st\u00e1lo za to z n\u011bkter\u00fdch strategi\u00ed \u00fapln\u011b vynechat?<\/strong><\/p><p>N\u011bkdy nen\u00ed nejlep\u0161\u00ed obchod ten, kter\u00fd ud\u011bl\u00e1\u0161. <strong>N\u011bkdy je nejlep\u0161\u00ed obchod ten, kter\u00fd neud\u011bl\u00e1<\/strong><strong>\u0161<\/strong><strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-100a371a elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"100a371a\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1386\" height=\"693\" src=\"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix.png\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-image-36796\" alt=\"Pr\u016fb\u011bh volatility: Kdy bestie b\u011bhem roku nesp\u00ed?\" srcset=\"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix.png 1386w, https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix-300x150.png 300w, https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix-1024x512.png 1024w, https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix-768x384.png 768w, https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix-50x25.png 50w, https:\/\/volbeast.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/sezonalita-vix-100x50.png 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1386px) 100vw, 1386px\"  title=\"Trh klesl, volatilita taky. A co te\u010f?\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>To je jeden ze sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u016f, na kter\u00fd se strategick\u00e1 odpov\u011b\u010f hled\u00e1 blb\u011b.<\/p>\n<p>\u010clov\u011bk tak n\u011bjak \u010dek\u00e1, \u017ee kdy\u017e trh kles\u00e1, volatilita poroste. Jen\u017ee ono to tak b\u00fdt nemus\u00ed.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":28131,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_surecart_dashboard_logo_width":"180px","_surecart_dashboard_show_logo":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_orders":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_invoices":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_subscriptions":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_downloads":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_billing":true,"_surecart_dashboard_navigation_account":true,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[64,47,62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-36797","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-denik-zakladatele","category-volbeast","category-vysledky"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36797","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/7"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36797"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36797\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36802,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36797\/revisions\/36802"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/28131"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36797"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36797"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/volbeast.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36797"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}